Fed meeting today

2022 - 11 - 2

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Image courtesy of "CNN"

What to expect from the Federal Reserve meeting (CNN)

There's also a chance it could trigger a recession. While Fed Chair Jerome Powell has stressed that persistent, entrenched inflation would bring greater ...

Sales of [newly constructed homes](https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/26/homes/new-home-sales) dropped 10.9% in September from August and were down 17.6% from a year ago. The much bigger question is around how the Fed signals its future policy path,” wrote Luke Bartholomew, senior economist at abrdn, in a note. They will be closely watching Powell’s post-meeting press conference to see if he lays the groundwork for a step down in the pace of rate hikes. Friday’s upcoming jobs report is expected to show the economy added another 205,000 positions in October, down from last month but still historically high. That’s the highest the fed funds rate has been since January 2008. There’s also a chance it could trigger a recession.

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Image courtesy of "The Washington Post"

Fed poised to hike rates by 0.75 percentage points for fourth time (The Washington Post)

Recession risks are growing, but the Federal Reserve is sticking with aggressive interest rate increases for now.

Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), issued a [letter](https://www.warren.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/2022.10.31%20Letter%20to%20Fed%20re%20Monetary%20Policy.pdf) to Powell warning that the Fed against inflicting needless harm. [ramped up their criticism](https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2022/10/27/fed-democrats-rate-hikes/?itid=lk_inline_manual_25) of the central bank, arguing that such massive rate hikes will inevitably hurt the labor market. [job market](https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2022/10/07/september-jobs-report-labor-market/?itid=lk_inline_manual_21) remains remarkably resilient and is still churning. The unemployment rate is low at 3.5 percent, and employers are still eager to hire new workers, with the number of [job openings](https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2022/10/23/federal-reserve-job-vacancies-labor/?itid=lk_inline_manual_21) rising in September to 10.7 million. [said](https://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/files/FOMCpresconf20220921.pdf) when the Fed raised rates in September. Compounding the challenge is that interest rates are blunt and only target demand in the economy. Outside the Fed, inflation has become a major issue for voters and candidates ahead of the midterm elections. Economists and Fed watchers also note that the Fed’s decisions are also amplified as central banks around the world Rate hikes take months to fully sink into the economy, and the growing fear is that the Fed will outrun its ability to gauge whether its policies are working. Core inflation, a measure closely watched by the Fed that strips out more volatile categories such as food and energy, also came in hot. Yet that fight is drawing increasing criticism, from economists and lawmakers, that the Fed is The bank is moving at a level of intensity not seen in decades.

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Image courtesy of "USA TODAY"

Live updates: Massive Fed interest rate hike coming today. Here's ... (USA TODAY)

The Federal Reserve is poised to hike interest rates for the sixth time this year to fight inflation. The aggressive hikes risk igniting a recession.

] [USA TODAY economics reporter Paul Davidson](https://www.usatoday.com/staff/2646662001/paul-davidson/) will cover the event in person. [labor market remains strong](https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/10/07/september-jobs-report-unemployment-inflation-interest-rates/8195709001/). ] [S&P 500 performance during the past five rate hikes] [In all but one of the past five Fed rate hikes, the S&P 500 closed at least 1% higher](https://www.usatoday.com/in-depth/graphics/2022/10/31/fed-markets-how-sp-500-moved-each-rate-increase/10614448002/). But [economists ](https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/10/27/recession-looming-some-predict-higher-severity-than-expected/10600959002/)don’t expect that to be the case in 2023, especially if the Fed continues lifting rates at an aggressive pace. Banks pass on these higher rates to consumers by making it more expensive for them to get a mortgage, a loan, pay off credit card debt and more. [Fed rate hike history 2022] [Here's when the Federal Reserve hiked its short-term interest rate this year, and the amount by which it raised that rate.] [March 17: 0.25 percentage point] [May 5: 0.50 percentage point] [June 16: 0.75 percentage point] [July 28: 0.75 percentage point] [September 22: 0.75 percentage point] [What time is Powell’s press conference?] [Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s media conference will begin at 2:30 p.m. The fed funds rate is the interest rate banks charge to lend money to one another. [Fed fund rates today ] [Ahead of the Fed's upcoming rate hike, the fed fund rate ranges between 3% to 3.75%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down by 0.5% while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were down by 0.7% as of 10:30 a.m. Leading up to the decision, the index was higher but fell immediately after the Fed announced the 75-point hike. - The central bank is boosting rates to curb inflation, which hovers near a 40-year high. That increase will have a direct impact on

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Image courtesy of "Barron's"

The Fed's Next Rate Hike Is Coming. Why Powell Won't Say the End ... (Barron's)

There are many reasons for the Federal Reserve chairman to maintain a hawkish stance on rate hikes.

The committee’s policy statement is out at 2 p.m. That would mean the sixth rate hike of 2022 and fourth-straight 0.75 percentage-point bump. Markets won’t get their much-anticipated all-clear signal from the Fed.

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Image courtesy of "CNBC"

Live updates: Watch Fed Chair Powell's press conference after ... (CNBC)

The Federal Reserve delivered its latest monetary policy announcement, with the central bank hiking rates by 75 basis points, or 0.75 percentage point.

The strategist said Powell will have to be careful in how he crafts the statement because he could raise market expectations for a less aggressive Fed. "Rate hikes from here will be more cognizant of the new economic environment we're in with respect to the much higher cost of capital and economic clouds that are circling," he said. As in, Wall Street will be looking for the central bank to "step down" from its current tightening path. "Will there be discussion about the potential for 50 basis points in December? We're somewhat surprised to see the 'soft pivot' in the statement itself and we expect that Powell will double down on this narrative at the press conference. "From a cost benefit perspective, it doesn't do as much damage to the asset markets and to the broader economy… "We've always said it was going to be difficult, but to the extent rates have to go higher and stay higher for longer it becomes harder to see the path. ... And that's why I've said at the last two press conferences that at some point it will be important to slow the pace of increases. The Fed raised its target rate by three-quartes of a point Wednesday afternoon. The Fed's outlook may be less one-sided, but reaffirming its bias to fight hard against inflation – and the 2% inflation target – is likely to remain a market headwind until inflation conditions improve." The level of interest rates will also be higher than previously expected, he said. "Chairman Powell made it clear that his bias is to err on the side of over-tightening rather than under-tightening in order to avoid the risk of inflation becoming entrenched," said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment strategist, BMO Wealth Management.

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Image courtesy of "Financial Times"

Jay Powell warns US rates will peak at higher level than expected (Financial Times)

Speaking after the central bank increased its main interest rate by 0.75 percentage points for the fourth time in a row, Powell warned the Fed had “some ways to ...

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Image courtesy of "DailyFX"

Live Data Coverage: November Federal Reserve Meeting (DailyFX)

Will the FOMC deliver a 75-bps or 100-bps rate hike today? How will markets react?

Rates markets see a 103% chance of a 75-bps rate hike in November (a 100% chance of a 75-bps rate hike and a 3% chance of a 100-bps rate hike), with a 50-bps rate hikes favored in December (a 100% chance of a 50-bps rate hike and a 47% chance of a 75-bps rate hike). We’ll discuss how markets may react to the November Federal Reserve rate decision starting at 13:45 EDT/17:45 GMT. [DXY](https://www.dailyfx.com/us-dollar-index) Index, the shape of the US Treasury yield curve, and Fed rate hike odds. - We’ll discuss how markets may react to the November Federal Reserve rate decision starting today at 13:45 EDT/17:45 GMT. However, questions remain about whether or not a 50-bps or a 75-bps rate hike will be levied in December. Fed fund futures remain equally aggressive as Eurodollar contract spreads in the near-term.

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Image courtesy of "Decrypt"

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Stocks Jump Following Fed's Fourth Rate Hike (Decrypt)

The Federal Reserve announced today that it will continue with its aggressive monetary policy to fight inflation, and both crypto and traditional markets ...

Bitcoin and Ethereum are still up 2.1% and 8.4% respectively in the past seven days. Although the Fed’s aggressive monetary policy has led investors to go to safe-havens like the U.S. Wall Street trading was yesterday shaky on [news](https://decrypt.co/113305/bitcoin-holds-fed-interest-rate-hike-decision) that the labor market was strong and the Fed would therefore continue to raise interest rates. stocks remains intact and probably will continue until inflation significantly declines," Moya said. The Bank of America said in a Wednesday report that it expects “the Chair to open the door to a slower pace of hikes beginning in December.” “In determining the pace of future increases in the target range, the Committee will take into account the cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the lags with which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation, and economic and financial developments,” today’s statement from the Fed said.

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